Any note on the forthcoming Assembly polls in Tamilnadu
must, absolutely must start with a word of kudos to the efforts put in by the
Election Commission to inform, promote and popularise the Right and the Duty of
the electorate to exercise their franchise. No media outlet has been left
unexplored, indeed been fully exploited to achieve the utopian target of “Nooru sadavidham” as the popular slogan
goes! To the election commission goes the Man of the Match award even before
the game has started. Now it is up to the electorates to score that century!
May 16th, 100 Sadavidham! |
Tamilnadu elections, more than any other state in India is
all about personality, to the extent it almost borders on being Presidential.
Personality driven elections in Tamilnadu predates even “Indira is India, India
is Indira” nationally. From Aringnar Anna to M.G.Ramachandran to
M.K.Karunanidhi to J.Jayalalitha,
elections are won and lost because you are either for or against the leader. The
quip “Even a lamp post can win on a Congress ticket” during India’s initial
days of experiments with the ballot box post Independence was given a fillip in
Tamilnadu under the above mentioned stalwarts. To a large extent the scenario
continues to dominate. Unless the candidate in question is universally
unpopular, he/she is most likely to sail through or bite the dust not because
of her/his standing or abilities but due to how the “Thalaivar/Thalaivi” is perceived at the time of punching the button
on the EVM. And this shows no signs of abating in the near future either.
The other area where Tamilnadu has been the harbinger is the
rise of regional parties which hardly have a footprint outside the borders of
the state. Ever since the DMK drubbed the Congress in ’67, the state has been
alternatively ruled by one or the other regional parties. From its initial role
of being the kingmakers, Congress and subsequently all other ‘National’ parties
have been reduced to being footnotes. The sprouting of a plethora of smaller
regional parties making these ‘National’ parties mere ‘notional’ parties in the
state.
I, Me, Myself! |
As time moved along, Tamilnadu elections have stopped being
only about personalities. The recent elections can be aptly described as being
all about alliances and appliances! The dictum the whole being bigger than the sum
of its parts was possibly perfected by the leading Dravidian parties in
Tamilnadu. The multitude of political parties with various levels of influence
geographically or among caste and religious divides are co-opted in the belief
that all other parameters being equal, 2+1+1/2+1/4 = 234! (234 is the number of
seats in the Tamilnadu Assembly you dummkopf. Welcome!)
Regional Parties! Just a glimpse! |
The problem with arithmetic is that it can be duplicated.
Also the breakaway factions among the political parties neutralized the arithmetic
to a large extent as rival factions allied with rival camps! This led to the
evolution of the next big idea to woo the voter. While freebies have always
been in the backdrop of any Indian election, the freebie was usually food
(Rice/Wheat/Take your pick) or a leg up for food production (free power to
farmers etc.). In a first of its sort Tamilnadu added Colour Television among ‘necessities’
and offered it free to electorates! Soon Mixies, Fans, Laptops, Jewellery were
added to the list and it has become a virtual free for all ever since! One
wonders which among Smartphones, Refrigerators, Washing Machines, Dishwashers
and Microwaves will make it to the manifestos this time around!
Kalaignar and 'Sonrise'? |
#TNElections2016 is unique because after nearly three
decades the polls are going to witness a multi cornered contests. In the blue
corner is Amma fighting a ‘I,Me, Myself
vs the Rest’ contest. In the Red corner
is her rival since eons, Kalaignar,
the Nonagenarian leader desperate for his ‘Sonrise’, with Congress and some
loose change parties for company. Waiting in the wings, hoping to get a toehold
is a ragtag coalition of parties with more leaders than followers led by a Captain
who is likely to traverse the entire road from being a possible kingmaker to
wannabe king and despite the public bravado, praying he doesn’t end up a
spoiler with no spoils. And finally there is this faceless, friendless, ally-less,
leaderless party among the also-rans which is likely to end up with Participation Certificate! I refer to the same party which incidentally heads the Federal
Govt of The Union of India!
I am no psephologist. And if you
were expecting me to predict the outcome of the elections in this note, I am
happy to disappoint you. All I can say here is I hope the election commission
wins. And more importantly, with apologies to Ravi Shastri, I pray whoever wins,
at the end of the day Tamilnadu will be the real winner!
The Real Winner Please! |
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PS: These parties are also fighting an election in the
neighbouring Pondicherry which must right now be feeling like Rahul Dravid!
Glossary:
Nooru Sadavidham : 100%
Aringnar Anna : Sobriquet bestowed on C.K.Annadurai. Literal
meaning Knowledgeable Elder Brother.
Amma: Popular nickname of TN CM J.Jayalalitha meaning
Mother.
Kalaignar: Popular Nickname of former CM of TN, M.K.Karunanidhi
meaning Artist/Scholar
Thalaivar/Thalaivi : Leader
Well written boss. I find you guys are much better off in TN than us in WB. Election Commission has failed to curb the age old practice of 'polling method'in bengal, about which you are aware off. Recollect your howrah days. Three phases over. Four more to go and todays headline says about goons being hired in to "manage" the polls. Tradition continues.
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